Avalanche's AVAX token declined 4.85% over the past 24 hours, falling from $14.08 down to $13.40. This extends the recent downward price trend for AVAX, which has now dropped 8.61% across the past week.

Declining Price Alongside Lower Trading Volume

In addition to the falling price, Avalanche's 24-hour trading volume has also trended lower, currently sitting at $139.07 million. This is down significantly from the $700+ million daily volumes seen in late June when AVAX hit its 2022 peak price of $21.70. Lower volume signals decreased interest and momentum.

Short-Term Technical Picture Weakening

AVAX'stechnical indicators are painting a bearish picture in the short-term. The price has fallen below its 20 and 50-day moving averages and shows bearish crossover patterns on key indicators like the MACD. Additionally, RSI is approaching oversold levels around 30, indicating the decline may be overextended.

Still Positive Longer-Term Trend Intact

Zooming out, Avalanche still maintains a positive longer-term uptrend, even after this recent bearish price action. Over the past month, AVAX remains up 8.83% and has gained 94% over the past 6 months. The altcoin's multi-year trajectory remains bullish.

This points to the decline being driven by short-term dynamics rather than a change in the project's long-term investment thesis. Look for a reversal back above $15 in the coming weeks.

Prediction: Bounces Between $12 and $15 Before Continuing Higher

My prediction is that AVAX will trade rangebound between support around $12 and resistance at $15 in the near-term. This consolidation will allow oversold technical factors to reset before bulls regain control and spark the next leg higher later in 2023. Macro trends around blockchain adoption remain positive for Avalanche.

How Does Avalanche's Decline Impact the Broader Altcoin Market?

Avalanche's 4.85% decline is relatively in-line with weakness across the broader altcoin market. Leading large cap altcoins like Solana, Polygon, and Cardano are seeing similar price drops in the 3-5% range.

This points to macro forces, like decreasing risk appetite and Bitcoin's stagnation under $25k, weighing on altcoin sentiment overall. Traders are taking profit across the sector. However, most major projects retain positive long-term outlooks once conditions improve.

Therefore, Avalanche's decline appears more technical and sentiment driven as opposed to indicating deteriorating project fundamentals. The altcoin market is still primed for continued growth.

Should You Buy Avalanche on This Recent Dip?

Avalanche's nearly 5% price drop presents a short-term buying opportunity, especially for long-term focused investors. Cost dollar-cost averaging can lower your entry price.

However, considering weak technicals, continued near-term volatility is likely. AVAX may see further declines to test support around $12 before finding a bottom. Waiting for a clear reversal signal like a move back above the 20-day MA reduces timing risks.

But for those with a multi-year investment time horizon, accumulating AVAX on dips will likely generate strong returns as adoption grows. The long-term growth story remains intact despite this healthy pullback. Target re-accumulation near $12.

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