Bitcoin Cash's 3.05% Price Plunge to $212.65: Key Insights for September 20, 2023

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) saw its price plummet by 3.05% over the past 24 hours to $212.65, from $219.41 yesterday. With a market capitalization of $4.17 billion, BCH is currently ranked as the 13th largest cryptocurrency by market cap.

In this technical analysis, we'll explore the key metrics behind Bitcoin Cash's latest price movements and uncover insights into where the price could be headed next.

Over the past hour, BCH has declined by 0.26% against the US dollar. Zooming out to the past 7 days paints a positive picture, with BCH up 5.34% week-on-week. The monthly view is even more bullish, with BCH gaining 12.95% over the last 30 days.

The longer term 6-month view reveals BCH's strongest gains - the price today is a whopping 62.64% higher than it was just 6 months ago. This indicates a solid uptrend in place.

Looking at trading volumes, BCH saw $161.35 million worth of coins change hands over the past 24 hours. This points to decent liquidity and interest in trading the cryptocurrency.

What's Behind the Latest BCH Price Drop?

BCH's 3.05% single-day price plunge can likely be attributed to a pullback and consolidation after the strong gains seen over the past month. Some profit-taking from short-term traders may have also contributed to the decline.

The price appears to have found support around the $210 level for now. This level aligns with the 21-day moving average, which indicates it is an area of technical support on the charts.

Broader weakness in the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin down 1% in the past 24 hours, may have also dragged BCH's price lower. Cryptocurrencies often trade in correlation with Bitcoin price swings.

Overall, the price drop does not indicate a trend reversal. The bullish monthly and 6-month gains show the longer term uptrend remains intact. This pullback should be viewed as temporary consolidation within the context of the larger uptrend.

What's Next for Bitcoin Cash?

Analyzing the key technical indicators offers clues into where Bitcoin Cash's price may head next. Here are some insights:

  • The 21-day moving average near $210 is acting as near-term support. This MA level has propped up the price on several occasions over the past few weeks.
  • The 50-day MA at $186 is the next key support level below. If the 21-day MA fails to hold up, the 50-day MA would be the critical line in the sand for bulls.
  • The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 45 shows BCH is currently in neutral momentum territory - neither overbought nor oversold. This suggests room for the price to swing either way in the coming days.
  • Daily trading volumes are declining as BCH consolidates. A spike in volume would be needed to confirm the next decisive price breakout.

Predicting BCH's Price Trend

Given the bullish monthly and 6-month trends, I expect Bitcoin Cash will resume its upward trajectory over the next 3-6 months. The cryptocurrency market remains in a macro bull market and funds are likely to continue flowing from Bitcoin into large-cap altcoins like BCH.

Key upside price targets include the recent swing high around $260. A break above this would open the door for a retest of 2022 highs near $330.

Downside supports to watch include the 21-day MA at $210 and 50-day MA at $186. As long as the price holds above these key MAs, the uptrend can be considered intact.

Of course, cryptocurrencies are highly volatile assets and external factors like regulation and economic conditions could impact prices over the longer term 12-month timeframe. But based purely on current technical setups and trend patterns, I anticipate BCH regaining its bullish momentum over the 3-6 month time horizon.

Will Bitcoin Cash Reclaim its All-Time High This Cycle?

Bitcoin Cash hit an all-time high price of $3,785 in December 2017, during that year's historic bubble. With BCH currently trading around $212, the price would have to surge over 17x to set a new ATH.

While unlikely in the immediate short-term, there are several reasons why BCH could potentially reclaim its prior peak this cycle:

  • BCH has lower fees and faster transaction times than Bitcoin, which gives it more utility as a payment coin especially in emerging markets. If adoption continues growing, demand for BCH may rise significantly.
  • The Bitcoin Cash network successfully forked to expand block size limits and continue scaling on-chain. This improves functionality.
  • Prior bull markets show cryptos often far exceed their previous peaks each market cycle. A 17-18x gain from the current BCH price would be in line with past bull runs.

However, some challenges remain:

  • Competition from other fast, low-fee cryptos like Litecoin, Nano, and Stellar Lumens may limit upside potential.
  • Further technological innovations could emerge to eclipse BCH's utility.
  • Regulatory restrictions could negatively impact broader crypto market gains.

Overall, while unlikely in the short term, it remains distinctly possible BCH could revisit its former all-time highs of $3,785+ during this market cycle if adoption and bullish sentiment accelerate significantly from current levels. But given the 17x+ price increase required, it would take a new parabolic bull market comparable to 2017 to propel BCH to new highs.

Will We See a Crypto Market-Wide "Altseason" in 2023?

In past crypto bull markets, "altcoin seasons" have occurred - periods where Bitcoin consolidates and money rotates heavily into large market cap altcoins. Could 2023 bring another euphoric altseason? There are mixed possibilities:

For:

  • With Bitcoin consolidating below its own ATH, traders may look to large caps like BCH for bigger upside.
  • Mainstream crypto adoption is rising, bringing more new capital into altcoins.
  • Meme hype could return and flow into altcoins like in 2021.

Against:

  • Regulation may limit speculative altcoin investing this cycle.
  • Bitcoin dominance remains strong, showing money is sticking heavily in BTC.
  • DeFi innovations are attracting capital away from legacy altcoins.

An altseason comparable to years past cannot be ruled out. But indicators also suggest altcoin gains could be more muted compared to Bitcoin this cycle. Likely we will see a middle ground scenario play out in 2023 - periods of rotation into large cap alts, but with Bitcoin retaining its market lead. Much will depend on regulation, technological disruption, and whether mainstream hype returns. The odds seem mixed either way.

In summary, while Bitcoin Cash has seen a painful 3% single-day decline, the longer-term uptrend remains intact. Given strong monthly gains and bullish technicals, BCH looks poised to bounce back over the 3-6 month time horizon. The path to reclaiming its prior all-time high will likely require another parabolic bull market, but cannot be ruled out this cycle if adoption accelerates significantly. For now, price action suggests BCH will consolidate around the $200 level before attempting to break out to new highs.

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