After a rough 2022 for the cryptocurrency market, Cardano has shown signs of life in recent days. The price of ADA, Cardano's native token, has increased 2.3% over the past 24 hours to $0.25. This price surge comes despite an overall bearish sentiment in the crypto market.
Cardano now has a market capitalization of $8.7 billion, making it the 8th largest cryptocurrency by market cap. In the past day, $83 million worth of ADA has traded hands on exchanges. This trading volume is below average for Cardano, indicating that buyer demand has not yet returned in full force.
Analyzing the short-term and long-term percentage changes in ADA's price reveals insights into buyer and seller sentiment:
- Over the past hour, ADA has gained 0.55%. This shows some short-term bullish momentum.
- The past 24 hours show a gain of 2.3%, confirming the short-term uptrend.
- Over the past week, ADA has dropped 1.85%. This suggests sellers were in control leading up to the current bounce.
- The monthly losses are more severe at 5.88%, which means sellers dominated the market over the past 30 days.
- ADA is down 28.37% over the past 6 months, showing the dramatic selloff cryptocurrencies experienced in 2022.
The recent single-day gain of 2.3% appears to be an encouraging signal that ADA may finally be bottoming out after its steep declines. However, the longer-term technicals remain decidedly bearish.
What Could Fuel Further Price Gains for Cardano?
For the bulls to regain control of the Cardano market, certain fundamental and technical developments would need to occur. Here are some potential catalysts for further ADA price increases:
- Improving sentiment in the overall crypto market - A rising tide lifts all boats. If Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies rally, ADA could ride their coattails higher. This requires crypto sentiment to turn positive after macroeconomic headwinds rocked the digital asset space in 2022.
- Advancements in the Cardano roadmap - If the Cardano developers continue to hit milestones and roll out network improvements as planned, it would underscore the blockchain's long-term potential and attract investors. Key updates like implementing smart contracts boosted ADA in 2021.
- Growing decentralized applications (dApps) ecosystem - The more quality dApps launch on Cardano, the greater its utility and value. More dApps would also mean higher transaction volumes and fees, increasing network activity.
- Technical breakout above resistance - ADA faces overhead resistance around $0.30. A decisive break above that price level would signal a resumption of the bull trend. That would generate technical buying and break the bearish mentality that has dominated the ADA market.
How Low Can Cardano Go In 2023?
Given the extremely bearish sentiment plaguing cryptocurrencies, a difficult question is how much further Cardano could fall in 2023. Here are some target levels for potential price declines:
- The 2022 low of $0.17 - This was the bottom from ADA's capitulation selloff last year. Strong support would be expected at this price zone, but if crypto pessimism worsens, a breakdown is possible.
- The 2018 bear market bottom of $0.027 - This is the lowest ADA has ever traded, reached after its 2017 bull run. Revisiting this historical support would represent a cataclysmic 89% drop from current levels. This only seems likely under a crypto winter scenario.
- De-peg risk below $0.01 - In a true selloff panic, there is always a chance major cryptocurrencies could de-peg and trade based on sentiment rather than fundamentals. This would only happen under extreme conditions when all confidence in crypto is lost.
While further losses for ADA seem likely in the nearer term, the blockchain's strong technology and community support provide a floor. The historical $0.17 low gives a reasonable downside target for conservative traders in 2023. However, if positive fundamentals materialize, Cardano could very well regain its footing and continue advancing its roadmap.